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Desislava Petrova

Desislava Petrova

Postdoctoral Fellow Clima, contaminación atmosférica, naturaleza y salud urbana

Desislava Petrova’s area of research is climate dynamics, variability and change. She holds a PhD degree in Climate Dynamics and an undergraduate degree in Mathematics.

Her main area of expertise is in climate predictability at sub-seasonal to seasonal, inter-annual and decadal timescales, and particularly in the predictability of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). She is also interested in how climate forecasts can be used within various impact models to increase their predictive lead time, and to develop useful climate services in help of vulnerable communities and decision-makers.

In the ArcIce4MedRain project she is currently focused on climate variability and change, and in particular on unraveling the dynamical sources of uncertainty of future rainfall projections in Mediterranean types of climates (in particular in California and the Mediterranean region itself).
 
Previously, in the Blue Action project she was responsible for the provision and analysis of the skill of weather forecasts that are to be used in epidemiological models of temperature-related mortality.

Líneas de investigación

  • El Niño Southern Oscillation variability, predictability and change.
  • Climate dynamics, predictability and change.
  • Climate impact models and climate services.

Principales publicaciones

  • Ivana Cvijanovic, Amelie Simon, Xavier Levine, Rachel White Pablo Ortega, Markus Donat, Donald D. Lucas, John C. H. Chiang, Anne Seidenglanz, Dragana Bojovic, Arthur Ramos Amaral, Vladimir Lapin, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Desislava Petrova, Arctic sea-ice loss drives a strong regional atmospheric response over the North Pacific and North Atlantic on decadal scales, Communications Earth and Environment, 6, no. 1 (2025): 154.
  • Desislava Petrova, Xavier Rodo, Siem Jan Koopman, Vassil Tzanov, Ivana Cvijanovic. The 2023/24 El Nino and the Feasibility of Long-Lead ENSO Forecasting, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 105, no. 10 (2024): E1915-E1928.
  • Desislava Petrova, Patricia Tarin-Carrasco, Aleksandar Sekulic, Jelena, Lukovic, Maria Gali Reniu, Xavier Rodo, Ivana Cvijanovic. Future precipitation changes in California: comparison of CMIP5 and CMIP6 intermodel spread and its drivers, International Journal of Climatology, Special Issue: The Climate of the Mediterranean Region at Multiple Time and Spatial Scales (2024), 44(7), pp.2207-2229.
  • Desislava Petrova, Joan Ballester, Siem Jan Koopman, Xavier Rodo. Multi-year statistical prediction of ENSO enhanced by the tropical Pacific observing system, Journal of Climate 33.1 (2020): 163-174.
  • Desislava Petrova, Rachel Lowe, Anna Stewart-Ibarra, Joan Ballester, Siem Jan Koopman, Xavier Rodo. Sensitivity of large dengue epidemics in Ecuador to long-lead predictions of El Nino, Climate Services, 15 (2019): 100096.
  • Marcos Quijal-Zamorano, Desislava Petrova, Erica Martinez-Solanas, Francois R. Herrmann, Xavier Rodo, Jean-Marie Robine, Hicham Achebak, Joan Ballester. Forecast skill assessment of an operational continental heat-cold-health forecasting system: New avenues for health early warning systems., Science Advances 10, no. 46 (2024): eado5286.
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